Login
My Garage
New hero

In 2024, 5 million learner drivers predicted to compete for only 1.8 million available driving test slots

By Mathilda Bartholomew | February 20, 2024

Share

Why not leave a comment?

See all | Add a comment

The findings suggest that the Driver and Vehicle Standards Agency (DVSA) is operating with a capacity one-third lower than necessary

In 2024, 5 million learner drivers predicted to compete for only 1.8 million available driving test slots

Disheartening news awaits frustrated learner drivers attempting to schedule their driving tests, as projections for 2024 indicate a staggering 177% surge in demand, surpassing the available capacity.

Marmalade, a specialist in young driver insurance, conducted an analysis of official data, revealing that an estimated 5,004,282 learners will vie for a mere 1,808,148 test slots this year. The findings suggest that the Driver and Vehicle Standards Agency (DVSA) is operating with a capacity one-third lower than necessary, paving the way for a significant test backlog extending into 2025.

Breaking down the statistics further, monthly demand for driving tests in the UK reaches 195,982, while the DVSA's average monthly capacity is limited to 144,429 test slots.

In January alone, 527,722 test slots were booked for the first half of the year, intensifying the backlog as demand consistently outpaces the DVSA's efforts to alleviate waiting times.  

Despite DVSA Chief Executive Loveday Ryder's call for learners to book tests only when fully prepared, instructors persist in urging candidates to secure test dates promptly, potentially rescheduling if not adequately ready.

Mark Steeples, an instructor, advises learners to book tests after completing their theory but emphasises the importance of taking the test only when confident and ready to pass. He anticipates no return to pre-Covid test availability.

Marmalade's Head of Insure Relations, Chris Lawson, highlights the ongoing impact of the backlog, emphasising the significant gap between testing capacity and high demand.

He stated, “Learner drivers up and down the UK are being impacted by this backlog and a fundamental disparity between the capacity for testing and this high demand. Until testing capacity can increase, we don’t believe that the backlog will ever end, it will only get worse and learners will continue to face a lottery when it comes to securing a test.” 

“This backlog and the pent-up demand opens up learners to a risk of exploitation as third parties take advantage of that desperation, which we’ve seen in recent months.” 

The situation underscores the need for urgent measures to address testing capacity issues and provide a more equitable testing process for learners across the UK.

You find Marmalade's full data and research here - https://www.wearemarmalade.co.uk/driver-hub/news/driving-test-backlog-might-never-end

Related Articles

Which car colour offers the best resale value?
Below, we explore the most popular car colours, why they're so common, and which colours tend to hold their value best.
EVs written off half as often as petrol cars since 2015, study reveals
CAP’s study, which looked at cars under five years old from 2015 to August 2024, found that only 0.9 per cent of EVs were written off,...
Confirmed: UK 2030 ban on petrol cars, hybrid sales allowed until 2035
The UK government has reaffirmed its 2030 ban on new petrol and diesel cars while allowing certain hybrid sales until 2035, with final...
Young drivers spending up to 10% of income on car insurance
According to Confused.com, the average insurance cost for drivers aged 18 to 21 has risen to £2,350, marking a 17% increase from last year.